Thursday, December 30, 2004

Predictions

National Review has their 2005 predictions up. Some are better than others, but that's how these things usually go.
A million or so illegal immigrants will come across our borders or overstay their visas. Among them will be some dozens or hundreds of Middle Eastern terrorists. George W. Bush will refer to all million-odd as "good-hearted people."

Millions of people in Africa will die from violence and disease, and nobody will care much.

Major liberals will start admitting that Maureen Dowd is an embarrassment.

Some of the most interesting — and heated — debates will not be between Republicans and Democrats or between conservatives and liberals. They will be within these groups.

My predictions?

The Iraq elections will go better than expected. And the situation will begin to slowly (slowly!) burn out. The blogosphere will notice this around April. The New York Times, sometime next December.

We'll kill Zarqawi.

Bin Laden? "Who's Bin Laden?", says W.

Iran tests nuke.

Palestinian terorrists don't support whatever new Palestinian government forms.

Blair hangs on to his PMship.

UN scandals continue to stain the institution far worse than we've ever seen U.S. scandals stain the Presidency.

North Korea muddles on.

Social Security Reform will be a big issue. But I won't care because I find it boring. Sorry.

The Huygens Titan probe will fail.

Articles will start appearing next Fall about the strength of the "Evangelical Left."

Our newspapers won't contain a single story about Ukraine by April.

Bush's approval rating will hover at 51% for the bulk of the year.

Papers, politicos, pundits, journos, finally get wise and realize that the term "Red/Blue America" is largely bunk and the notion of a simply divided America recedes from the popular consciousness.

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