Thursday, September 16, 2004

The Bush Surge, Take 2

So, while 2000 gave us that rarest of elections where a man won the popular vote and did not win the Presidency, 2004 might give us something rarer -- a statistical dead heat, but a landslide. Looking at the latest Electoral-Vote.com (which does change daily), it's quite conceivable that Bush could win well over 300 electorates, but still run neck and neck with Kerry. Swathes of the country even larger than in 2000 will be painted red, and yet half of all Americans will have voted for the other guy. If anything, I think such a situation would show that there are indeed two Americas -- one red, one blue -- but that they are actually quite fluid, not rigid and set in stone as the simple media often reports. Which, really, makes complete sense, considering that 150 years ago, New England was Red America and Dixie was Blue America.

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